Focus Question: What people of Bihar actually wanted - comparison Bihar 2010 vs Bihar 2015?
I am not giving any inferences in this article. I am just presenting stats, and it would be nice if the readers attempt to draw at least 2 conclusions related to the above focus question on their own.
I am not giving any inferences in this article. I am just presenting stats, and it would be nice if the readers attempt to draw at least 2 conclusions related to the above focus question on their own.
Bihar election results 2015 - vote share/ percentage:
*Focus on the vote share column in the first figure.
Vote Share % in
|
||
2010
|
2015
|
|
| BJP |
16.5
|
24.4
|
| JDU |
22.6
|
16.8
|
| RJD |
18.8
|
18.4
|
| INC |
8.4
|
9.4
|
Performances of the alliances:
Vote Share % in 2015
|
|
| BJP+ |
35.9
|
| JDU/RJD+ |
43.1
|
Now imagine what would have happened if JDU and RJD would have not been together - How significantly they would have deteriorated each others' performances.
Other useful data:
Other useful data:
Total Voters in Bihar (243 seats)
|
Average number (U) of voters in each assembly (66826658÷243)
|
66826658
|
275007
|
....
2015 (p)
|
No. of seats contested in 2015 (N)
|
Approximate no. of voters in all the contested assemblies (N*U)
|
Normalised Strike rate of vote share = 1000000*p/(N*U)
|
||
| BJP |
24.4
|
159
|
43726113
|
0.56
|
|
| JDU |
16.8
|
101
|
27775707
|
0.60
|
|
| RJD |
18.4
|
101
|
27775707
|
0.66
|
|
| INC |
9.4
|
41
|
11275287
|
0.83
|


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