Sunday, November 8, 2015

Bihar polls 2015 - Future of BJP in Uttar Pradesh: Heading towards 2017 UP Polls

@Many of the popular inferences, such as:
‪#‎Election‬ over, Holy cow back in shed.
‪#‎BiharResults‬
No mention of ‪#‎LoveJihad‬ since UP by-poll results.
‪#‎Politics‬ of ‪#‎Polarisation‬ rejected!
My opinion:
Nothing rejected. Why can't people see simple social engineering. The biggest inference from Bihar Polls is that, "BJP would have swept the multi-party Bihar-electoral contest if JDU and RJD would have not came together.
Now applying the same trends for UP and analysing the state of UP:
1. UP also has multi-party politics.
2. UP has almost similar response towards caste and religion based politics.
3. In UP there are least chances that BSP and SP would come together against congress.
4. In UP BJP had performed (73/80) far far better than what it performed in Bihar (22/40) during 2014 general elections - implying that Modi wave was better in UP than in Bihar.
Now imagine, with a little improvement: propaganda, visible development work, polarisation, what can BJP achieve in UP.
Mind it! SP and BSP has almost zero chances of coming together (although I am not claiming this, anything can happen in politics).

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